ECR Country view: Five reasons why 2011 will see renewed violence in Kyrgyzstan (and one reason why it won’t)

Five reasons for: 1. A Fragile Coalition: Unusually for Central Asia, the election in October of an interim government led by President Roza Otunbayeva was judged by international investors to have been a fair contest. However, it remains to be seen whether the new parliamentary system adopted since the deposing of Kurmanbek Bakiyev last summer can be made to work as a system of government. The coalition between the SDPK, Ata-Meken and Respublika parties has already fallen apart once in December after the Ata-Meken party leader, Omurbek Tekebayev, failed to win election as parliamentary speaker. The dispute was eventually resolved, but tensions remain over which parties will control key government posts.