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Executive summary |
• Private equity firms are focusing on countries with newly-discovered natural resources• Competition is increasing, particularly for deals of over $50 million• Buyout funds provide an exit opportunity for the middle market• Firms should look to collaborate more• Regulators, rather than regulations, can be unpredictable• Africa is still a risky place to invest• There is a long list of failed private equity ventures in Africa |
Euromoney Which countries and sectors in sub-Saharan Africa are the main targets when it comes to private equity?
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Let’s take oil and gas as an example. In the last few years, countries such as Ghana, Uganda, the Ivory Coast, Mozambique, Tanzania and Kenya have discovered large quantities of oil and gas. And there seems to be an increase in the interest from private equity investors in these countries – not only in the oil and gas assets themselves, but also in the surrounding services sectors. It is a trend we find quite interesting.
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Sponsored by |
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YK, Vantage Capital We are currently investing our third mezzanine fund, which is primarily focused on South Africa and about 50% focused on the rest of the continent, by which we are really targeting about 10 markets – Ghana, Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Botswana, Namibia and Zambia and we have started looking at opportunities in Ethiopia and Mozambique.
Industry wise, and in line with our mezzanine structure, we believe it is important to invest in companies that can pay regular coupons in the reasonably near future so we like infrastructure and commercial real estate investment. We are not keen on residential real estate because of the difficulty in the offtake visibility and we avoid primary agriculture, where there is no irrigation. Otherwise, we are open to investment opportunities in all sectors.
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There is a strong, development opportunity with private equity and we pride ourselves in making a difference on this continent.
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For example, we have a company called Waco, which provides scaffolding, modular building and sanitation products – crucial to all countries that are engaging in significant infrastructure rollout, which is the case across the African continent. So for us, one of the best ways to provide private equity capital is through Waco: for it to partner either with a business in specific geographies or actually set up an organic operation.
Euromoney So how is competition evolving in the private equity space in Africa amongst yourselves and others, especially as we see more and more Africa-focused funds coming on the scene?
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But the concern is that some of these players are paying top prices for these assets. One therefore will need to come up with ways to create value to mitigate against poor returns from paying a high price.
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For us, who play in the middle market, we also see buyout funds as an exit opportunity because the IPO market is relatively small and there are not many M&A opportunities out there.
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Joshua Siaw (JS) is a global partner and director of Africa practice at White & Case |
With continued economic growth and diversification in Africa, there is room for all of us to play in this market. But I also think it depends where you play in the capital structure and what size of companies you target. For us in this room, we are not trying to be everything to everybody, but together we cover the different pockets of the market.
Euromoney Is there some collaboration between your firms, if you do work in different pockets?
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We get to a point where we have taken a company as far as we can, and perhaps we need a partner that has a different platform or a different level of expertise to take them further. By sharing some of the upside we can benefit and achieve higher returns. We are very open to talking to other private equity fund managers, because we see that as an evolution in terms of another alternative way in which we can exit, or partially exit, and achieve even greater returns.
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However, I am interested in the point that Richard made about fundraising and whether we should be collaborating or competing. In my view, we should not be competing, because I believe that we have different strategies. We should be advising investors on who is the right person to partner with, whether that be myself or someone else in this room.
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Once you deliver your pitch to investors, one of the first questions we are often asked is why they should give us money and not invest through larger international private equity funds. My reply is to highlight how different our strategies are from these firms, and that we shouldn’t be thought of in any way the same. Not only do they lack an understanding of the continent, but they also don’t understand the focus and capabilities of local fund managers. Most local fund managers are still not of sufficient scale to warrant the necessary due diligence required to make an investment.
And because African fund managers largely have not had many exits, the portfolios have not really been judged yet. Limited partners (LPs) are struggling to find who is who, because there is limited data to quantitatively differentiate fund managers. It is unfortunate, but we are still early days into the African private equity market.
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That would help the investee companies as well, it helps relationships among us and, if we are not able to do one deal together because of pricing or other issues, at least we know where our risk appetite ends and someone else’s begins.
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There is obviously competition for the few assets that are good, but there is also security in numbers. We do take comfort from the fact that we are all in this together when it comes to investing.
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Euromoney There are clearly opportunities, no matter how difficult they may be to access, but can we elaborate a little more on the risks involved?
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Richard Onyango (RO) was recently hired by Eiser Infrastructure Partners |
Now you are seeing American companies coming in, Asian companies, Australian, Middle Eastern, all looking for opportunities on the continent, and also with increasing confidence that democratically and politically you can invest for the future and that the regulatory environments and respect for law will continue to be there is the key.
Having said that, and listening to people around the table, you still see that investments and capital are focused generally in certain areas and certain countries, and that is indicative. In other places there is still a lot of chaos and there is still a lot of uncertainty about whether people want to invest there. Political risk is always round the corner and the big unknown in a lot of areas.
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Look at local content rules for example: Nigeria and Ghana have recently established rules that affect investment in relation to oil and gas, not only on the extraction side but services as well. Uganda and Kenya are doing the same. And they don’t only apply to natural resources, a lot of countries are making it much broader, similar to the South African indigenisation laws, and it is so important to understand that. Then you have foreign exchange controls, which affects repatriation of profits among other things.
There are many examples of investors who have overlooked restrictions that local content rules impose. It is so important to work with local lawyers who really understand local rules, regulations and regulatory constraints.
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Currency is also a risk, and can be a huge risk at that, especially in African countries that are very commodity dependent. If the pricing on certain commodities comes off in these economies, there is a pressure on the currency. We have seen it on the Naira as a result of the fall in the oil price. We can try to mitigate this by investing in platforms that are in multi-geographies.
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Dominic Liber (DL) is a partner at Leapfrog Investments, a private equity firm |
There are also some very practical things: When you invest in the certain African geographies, the lack of infrastructure can be very hindering to growth. But again, this can provide opportunities for private equity, if we can help companies improvise to overcome challenges.
For example, we have a business that sells ovens, but because electricity is not very reliable in most African markets they adapted their ovens to use paraffin. Those are some of the things that we can bring, as private equity investors – solutions that continue to capture the opportunities. Otherwise you would just walk away.
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On the currency side, we do deep assessment at the macro level of different countries before we enter, but once we are in, we focus on creating value at the company level. We don’t for example try and hedge or short currency risk through the investment period.
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Euromoney Where do you begin to look for investment opportunities in these types of environments?
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If you go a little further down the list, to the companies that have growth potential, this is where we see tremendous opportunity. But to take those companies on that journey – at least this is how we approach it – requires sector focus. You need to have a very deep understanding of what can be done with that company, in that market, to create the value that will make it of interest to a large strategic in due course.
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Richard Akwei (RA) is an executive director and member of the executive committee at Musa Capital |
There is also a certain amount of competition mounting from the strategic players themselves. They have been a driver of some of the largest deals. What we are seeing is that this is almost a third way: In the insurance sector, for example, we are seeing mounting interest by large international insurers and insurance groups on the continent. This can be competition as well.
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Because of this longer-term view, corporates’ investment proposals at times are seen as more attractive to sellers.
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But my question to them has always been, ‘what are you bringing to the table besides financial expertise?’ We all have similar qualifications, but do they really know enough about the market and the company to generate an attractive return?
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Philip Lindop (PL) has been head of investment banking for Africa at Barclays since 2012 |
And let’s be honest with ourselves, private equity is about wealth creation and many of the local sources of capital, which are becoming more and more relevant in terms of funding private equity in Africa, are starting to wonder where the carry is going. Is it going to Washington? Is it going to New York? Where are you building the local expertise? They want to know what the value-add other than the financial return will be.
This is becoming a serious issue. Companies want to deal with people on the ground and people from this market, so that we develop the local private equity expertise. I think, as we go forward, you will hear that a lot more.
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When you have a low yield environment in the US through quantitative easing and now, probably, indefinitely with €1 trillion that Mario Draghi is talking about, there has been a mismatch in expectations from what regulators actually think they should be able to get from investors and that, as infrastructure investors, is a worry for us.
In my view Africa is still a risky place to invest, when it comes to things like basic infrastructure, like power, and it is probably indicative that we still have these problems. South Africa, is one of our bigger economies, and here we are experiencing load shedding right now and it is much worse in the rest of the continent. It is dangerous to push the envelope too far and say that people must adjust their return expectations, because a lot of the risk premiums that are applied to Africa still are justified and relevant today.
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For me, sometimes corporates are able to bring things such as debt financing to the table because they can use, for example, their New York balance sheet, and they can afford to put two people on the ground, let’s say, in Nairobi. They will be competitors to us in these geographies, not because necessarily just of tenure, because these enablers that are needed for private equity to be able to support the private equity model in those markets are not readily available.
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In one of our exits recently a Nigerian bank refinanced us on a South African asset. Examples like this make the African PE market more attractive to foreign investors and open up the opportunity for more capital to flow into African PE funds, because there is more visibility on exit options.
Euromoney How can financial services and banks help support private equity throughout the region?
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On the debt financing point, in terms of the handful of big deals being done, I can assure you the banking community is all over these opportunities, because they represent the handful of bankable assets out there, ex-South Africa.
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Ngalaah Chuphi (NC) is a partner at Ethos Private Equity and leads Ethos’ sub-Saharan Africa strategy |
And based on our experience in South Africa, the desire for a local bank, such as us, to lend in the region is absolutely there. But the challenges we are confronted with are presumably exactly the same as the challenges you are confronted with outside of South Africa – a lack of consolidated group financials, audited financials, and family driven businesses where the dynamics can be difficult to understand. It can be as difficult to put our capital to work as it is for you.
I can confidently say the desire is there for us to do the credit work, we just need to help these entrepreneurs professionalize their business.
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They haven’t really developed skills in country where long-term lending is needed. Clearly such skills are available in South Africa but in the rest of the continent there is still a lot of education to be done on this.
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Moreover, our asset book for term lending outside of South Africa has been growing at over 30% a year for the last three years, which shows just how ambitious we are. The types of businesses you are investing in are absolutely the types of businesses that the banking industry wants to do business with.
But don’t forget that we are talking about interest rates in local currency, not just in double digits but in the 20s. I do not know which is harder, debt financing a business with interest rates of say 20% in local currency, or undertaking hard currency borrowing in this environment. There are some real challenges here, but we are up for that.
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When I was at Standard Bank, it was by and large an infrastructure bank – which in essence means lending over 10 years. But Basel III means that if you have to reserve 25% to 30% more capital, those additional costs are passed through in how banks set interest rates for loans. As a result, something such as trade business looks much more attractive when you compare this to project finance. In that respect, I don’t think there is much that you can do, as a lender, if the global standard requires you to work in this particular way.
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Yet, when you look at the causes of why we ended up in that crisis, it didn’t stem from Africa. There is a question about whether we really should be running into this sort of regulation when everyone else is waiting to observe the consequences first.
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The work we have done with most of the sovereign bond issuances in the last two years will soon foster an environment for local corporates to enter the markets, which is a good starting point. But we all need to be working hard to be putting out long-term, local currency bond instruments, which, in turn, will create opportunities for the development of the domestic equity capital markets. I believe that we all have a shared responsibility to do this. As an investment bank, we have to create intermediation between capital providers and the portfolio of potential private equity investment targets. This is beginning to take shape, and is what we are all excited about.
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Yaw Keteku (YK) is an associate partner at Vantage Capital |
Whether you are Leapfrog or you are one of the larger firms competing with global public and private equity, you have to create your own investment opportunities, as you guys have suggested, by investing growth equity, which gives you the foundation, at a later point, to introduce debt financing.
And I think you will find that the banks really want to do this work because these are the new emerging corporate players of the future.
Euromoney Right now, which are the players allocating capital to your funds?
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The other element on which we decided to spend a lot of time early last year was the local African pension funds. The Emerging Markets Private Equity Association (EMPEA) estimates that there is $29 billion of potential African pension fund capital that could be invested in African private equity.
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In addition, pension funds in South Africa, Botswana, Kenya and Nigeria must come to the party and support private equity because there is a place for this in their asset allocation. The challenge is to get these advisers, these ‘gate keepers’, to become comfortable with private equity as an asset class, which is still not that well-known in Africa. We need to educate them.
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We would love to get $50 million but they will look at it and say: ‘We are half of your fund – it is never going to work’. Therefore, scale is an issue with many global investors that are considerably larger than regional institutions.
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The reality is that while we are sitting here with the benefit of having raised funds, there is a long list of people in African private equity that have failed in their capital raising efforts. There is still a long way to go.