Economic projections methodology
Euromoney received replies from 32 economists at leading financial and economic institutions. They gave each country's economic performance for 1999 and 2000 a score out of 100. The world's fastest-growing, best-performing economy in an ideal year would score 100; the worst economy in a disastrous year would score zero. Respondents were asked to consider economic growth, monetary stability, current-account balance, budget balance, unemployment and structural imbalances. Economists also gave GNP growth forecasts for 1999 and 2000. Countries which received no votes are excluded from this table.
Our thanks go to the 45 political analysts and economists who took part in our surveys. Those who did not wish to remain anonymous were:
S Patel, Afrinvest; S Mok, Bank of East Asia; CY Tan, Bank of Taiwan; C Bonert, Banque & Caisse d'Epargne de l'Etat; D Readman, Barclays Bank; C Stracke, BT Alex Brown; J Krijgsman, CIBC Wood Gundy; P Lok, Conference Board of Canada; F Nicollas, Crédit Lyonnais; M Swoboda, Credit Suisse First Boston; K Schestauber and T Spanel, Creditanstalt; R Schneider, Dresdner Bank; S Clark, Dun & Bradstreet; C Schuller and P Svoboda, Erste Bank; A Yap, FDA Financiële Diensten Amsteram; R Prior, HSBC Economics & Investment Strategy; J Hussman, Hussman Econometrics Advisory Service; G Verberne, MeesPierson; R Heiskanen, MeritaNordbanken; D Kern and C Yeo, NatWest Group; D Porter, Nesbitt Burns; N Braems, Oppenheim Finanzanalyse; International country risk guide, PRS Group; G Samu, Royal Bank of Canada; H Kalita, Royal Bank of Canada; R RatcliVe, SG Cowen Securities; T Nicholson, Sparks Companies.