Economic projections: Methodology

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Economic projections: Methodology

Economic projections


Euromoney received replies from 32 economists at leading financial and economic institutions. They gave each country's economic performance for 1999 and 2000 a score out of 100. The world's fastest-growing, best-performing economy in an ideal year would score 100; the worst economy in a disastrous year would score zero. Respondents were asked to consider economic growth, monetary stability, current-account/budget deficit or surplus, unemployment and structural imbalances. Economists also gave their GNP growth forecasts for 1999 and 2000. Countries which received no votes are excluded from this table.

Our thanks go to the 47 political analysts and economists who took part in our surveys. Those who did not wish to remain anonymous were:

EK Galbraith, ABN Amro Asia; JL Perry, Arbor Trading Group; S Mok, Bank of East Asia; C Bonert, Banque & Caisse d'Epargne de l'Etat; JP Petit, Banque Nationale de Paris; R Wirdnam, Barclays Bank; S Napp, Barclays Capital; C Stracke, BT Alex Brown; J Krijgsman, CIBC Wood Gundy; F Nicollas, Crédit Lyonnais; B Walther, Credit Suisse First Boston; K Schestauber and T Spanel, Creditanstalt; Economic Analysis Group, Dun & Bradstreet; C Schuller, Erste Bank; P Svoboda, Erste Bank; A Yap, FDA Financiële Diensten Amsterdam;

C Leahy, High Frequency Economics; R Prior, HSBC Economics & Investment Strategy; A Schuiling, MeesPierson; H Schmieding, Merrill Lynch; R de Iure, National Australia Bank; P Voudouris, National Bank of Greece; DJ Porter, Nesbitt Burns; N Braems, Oppenheim Finanzanalyse; International country risk guide, PRS Group; P Johanson and JB Andersen, Realkredit Denmark; G Samu, Royal Bank of Canada; K Wade, Schroders; T Nicholson, Sparks Companies; H Fromlet, Swedbank; A Anvarzardhe, Towa Securities; R Schneider, UBS


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