You can't hedge against the main risk (currency risk).
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You can't hedge against the main risk (currency risk).

YOU CAN'T HEDGE AGAINST THE MAIN RISK

In the last 10 years the Deutschemark-dollar exchange rate has gone from 2.60 to 1.72, then to 3.45 and now to about 2.30. The sterling rate rose from 1.64 to 2.42 and then fell to near parity before rising to 1.50. Such gyrations make it almost impossible for businesses to form sensible investment plans. The uncertainty itself limits investment and the currency swings produce distortions in the real economy, such as the squeeze recently imposed on US manufacturing and farming by the high dollar.

Could a monetary system for the whole world run like the European system, and reduce the volatility of the foreign exchange markets?

The arguments against it are familiar. Exchange rates are prices, which must be allowed to change so that markets can clear and produce efficient results. Companies worried about exchange risk can always hedge in the futures markets.

Hedging is not cheap, and one cannot hedge against the main risk - that the currency of the country in which one has decided to produce will appreciate and make all costs too high. The only response is to be large enough to spread production around the world.

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