Still waiting for the tide to turn

The banking system is taking steps to shape up for European competition. But so far the changes are hardly sufficient in an industry plagued by overcapacity. Analysts argue that only mega-mergers will turn the tide. Philip Moore reports.

Recent events in Italy’s banking industry – an alliance of two big banks, a sell-off of another and hints that staff cuts are in the wind – may appear revolutionary in a country where, traditionally, shareholder value has not been a prime consideration. But analysts argue that much greater rationalization is needed if the banks are to compete effectively in Europe.

The first ripple came in May when Banco Ambrosiano Veneto (Ambroveneto) and Cassa di Risparmio delle Provincie Lombarde (Cariplo) – Italy’s largest savings bank – agreed a strategic alliance to establish the country’s second largest banking group.

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