A question of ownership

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A question of ownership

World stock and futures exchanges are in a turmoil of change and uncertainty. Fusion and cross-border linkages are in the air. Regulation to take account of this rapid change lags far behind, and stateless, borderless trading facilities may soon make it impossible. Remember, the only reason for an exchange to exist is to reduce transaction costs, argues Ruben Lee. Any new step that doesn't will end in tears.

Will Merrill Lynch buy up all the world's exchanges? It could certainly afford to do so, but it won't. The returns are just not there, and there are good reasons why they won't ever be.


An exchange is essentially a machine for reducing transaction costs. Exchanges are only used when it is cheaper to do so than to employ alternative dealing systems or search individually for a counterparty to a trade. Given that the major source of profits to exchanges are transaction related, any increase in an exchange's profits necessarily comes from an increase in transaction volume or transaction costs. It is for this very reason that when exchanges operated historically in a monopolistic environment, they normally did so with a non-profit or cooperative governance structure.


The presence of increased competition is encouraging exchanges to adopt a for-profit structure. It also, however, has implications for market participants considering investing in those exchanges that are selling their shares, be it via demutualization, corporatization, or privatization.


Goldman exit route


The owners of such exchanges are essentially following the Goldman Sachs exit strategy: capitalizing on their firm's accumulated goodwill at a time of all-time market highs and of peak uncertainty about the future.





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