Country Risk March 1999: In search of a safe haven

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Country Risk March 1999: In search of a safe haven

For historical country risk data please visit the Euromoney Country risk website


For this, our 27th ranking of the world's countries by creditworthiness, we have altered the scoring slightly. We have included a measure of per capita income into the score given for economic performance. This has boosted the ranking of a number of countries - especially smaller ones -which were previously penalized because little data was available on their economic performance (see methodology).

The change has exaggerated a trend which has been increasingly noticeable over the last two years. Bigger emerging-market economies have fallen in the ranking as the market has lost confidence. None has fared worse in the last 12 months than Russia. In our September poll, following last August's domestic debt default and devaluation of the rouble, Russia fell from 78 in the poll to 127. Since then it has fallen further to 168 as perceptions of its riskiness have increased. Our poll now ranks it a shakier place to invest than Sudan, Armenia and the Central African Republic.

Once again our ranking reveals itself to be a leading - not a lagging - indicator of risk.



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