Moving onto the radar screen
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Moving onto the radar screen

Author: Michael Peterson

    Last month Adriano Maleiane, Mozambique's central bank governor, announced the Banco de Moçambique's latest estimates for the country's GDP growth in 1999. Mozambique's economy, he said, grew at a world-beating 10% last year.

That gives this former Portuguese colony in southern Africa three years in a row of double-digit growth rates and almost certainly the world's highest rate of economic growth last year.

Perhaps even more impressive is the fact that this rapid growth has been achieved at a time of fast-falling inflation. The central bank has brought down the rate of inflation, which stood at around 50% in the mid-1990s, to an average of 2% in 1999.

With such spectacular macroeconomic headlines, one might have expected Mozambique to be attracting the attention of a whole host of emerging-market investment specialists.

The reason it is not is that this remains one of the world's poorest countries - sky-high GDP growth is rather easier to achieve from a rock-bottom base. Mozambique's devastating civil war ended only eight years ago. Its industrial base is embryonic and its financial infrastructure is virtually non-existent.

The view of one London-based emerging-markets specialist is typical.

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