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The chief executive of one of Europe’s biggest retail banks, one that has invested heavily in its digital platforms, is outlining what he perceives as the biggest risks to his business. He’s mentioned political risk and conduct risk. Then he pauses, takes a deep breath and tells Euromoney: “But the biggest risk of all is probably a cyberattack.”
So, we suggest, this must now be a regular source of discussion in your regular meetings with investors. “No,” he fires back immediately. “I can’t recall a single institution who has ever asked me about our cybersecurity policies.”
There is a clear disconnect here. The 1,200 risk experts in more than 50 countries that contribute to Allianz’s annual Risk Barometer rank cybersecurity as the third greatest threat facing companies, ahead of natural disasters. It is also ranked as the top future peril. In a report sponsored by Herjavec Group, the global annual cost of cybercrime was predicted to rise from $400 billion in 2015 to $6 trillion by 2021. That is equivalent to the combined GDP of France and Germany.
The problem for fund managers trying to factor cyber-risks into their investment decisions is that the threat from cyberattacks is relatively new: there is not a lot of history to study and the risk is not readily quantifiable.