January 2008
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FEATURES
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Cash management debate: The tricky path to standardization
The global credit crunch has underlined to banks the importance of cash management and transaction banking as core businesses. -
CEE Green finance: Renewables stay low on the energy agenda
The CEE region has huge potential for renewable energy, but there are obstacles to its development – not least the apparent unconcern of the region’s largest nation. Can Russia be induced to get behind the drive for cleaner energy? Jethro Wookey reports. -
Hungary's prime minister Gyurcsany sticks to his guns
If you are a fund manager interested in investing in central and eastern Europe, there is a strong possibility that you will be directed towards Hungarian government debt. The country’s debt management agency, the AKK, has issued about €2 billion annually to meet the country’s budgetary deficit in recent years. With about 30% of the debt held by foreign portfolio investors, perhaps the most important influence on its price is perception of the government’s resolve to limit an unusually large deficit. -
FX debate (part one of two): Currency markets in a post credit crisis world
Volatility in FX has increased because of the credit crisis but not as much as some expected. Inflation will bring more pressure and central banks face a dilemma. -
Equity markets: Budapest bourse fights for its life
Rapid privatization in the 1990s in which foreigner investors took many of the best prizes has left the Budapest stock market in a fragile state. After a recent foreign attempt to acquire one of the exchange’s few blue chips, Hungary’s government and companies are on the defensive. Dominic O’Neill reports. -
Asia’s best managed companies 2008: China leads the pack
Finding the best companies in Asia is becoming a case of deciding which ones are best placed in their exposure to its main growth market. Profits equal plaudits for our investors, as Jethro Wookey finds out. -
Andreas Treichl, Erste Bank: Champion of the retail banking revolution
Viennese born and bred but US investment bank trained, Andreas Treichl has been at the helm of Erste Bank for the past decade as chairman of its managing board and chief executive. During that time his combination of old-world Viennese charm and savoir-faire, allied with hard-nosed new world commercial nous, has helped the bank transform itself from a venerable but dull Austrian savings institution into the retail banking champion of central and eastern Europe. A series of audacious acquisitions means that Erste Bank is now well positioned to capture the continued high-growth potential in the region, benefiting from increased political stability and rising economic fortunes. He talks to Guy Norton about his vision for the future. -
Latin American banks work hard to keep up with demand
Growth in Latin American high-net-worth assets continues to outstrip that of other countries as the local economies boom. Helen Avery asks the region’s top-ranking private banks how they have been reacting to burgeoning demand. -
Credit Suisse pinpoints opportunity in Japan
Losses from sub-prime-related securities have forced many foreign investment banks to think twice about their ambitions for Japan. However, some lower-profile foreign franchises sense an opportunity to strike while rivals are wavering or cutting back. Credit Suisse’s Japan head of investment banking, Andrew Brownfield, thinks his firm is well positioned to make such a move. Lawrence White reports. -
German banking: The quest for a German national champion
They’re proud of their embassies in Berlin. Take a tour of the German capital and soon after passing the building shared by five Nordic countries your guide will point to three more embassies clustered together – those of South Africa, India and… Baden-Württemberg. It’s a symbol of Germany’s decentralization that is particularly apparent in its banking system. So is there room for – or even need of – a national champion? Philip Moore reports. -
European cash equity markets: The year of the MTF?
The European cash equity market’s status quo will be put to the test in 2008 when at least four new multilateral trading facilities open for business. Encouraged by the EU’s Markets in Financial Instruments Directive and the better than expected progress of MTF Chi-X, the newcomers promise to shake things up. Peter Koh reports. -
Erste Bank: The discreet charms of the bourgeoisie
In barely a decade, Erste Bank has gone from being a purely Austria-focused savings bank to a regional retail banking powerhouse. Guy Norton charts its rise to prominence and asks: where does it go next? -
Russian economy: The flight of the Russian phoenix
In August 1998 the Russian economy looked like a busted flush. Yet less than a decade later it’s the ace in the hole for investors looking for a hedge against a US-inspired global recession. Guy Norton looks at the reasons for its recovery. -
Julius Baer’s pure play pays off
COO Boris Collardi explains how his bank has gained momentum by doing the little things well. -
GE Money: Feeling the GE force
GE Money, the consumer finance and banking arm of General Electric, is growing quickly in central and eastern Europe. Sudip Roy talks to two of the firm’s senior executives about its expansion plans. -
Structured notes: Wealthy seek to profit from unstable markets
High-net-worth investors are keen to use structured notes to profit from volatility in the equity market, and to take advantage of opportunities elsewhere. John Ferry looks at what is on offer.
OPINION
ALSO IN THIS ISSUE
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FXMarketSpace (FXMS) announced a fresh initiative to try to attract some liquidity on to its screens when it unveiled its so-called JumpBall strategy. The JumpBall scheme intends to reward institutions that deal on the platform. FXMS says it is open to bank and non-bank participants and that it will reward the 16 most active traders from January 15 2008 until September 30. Those who qualify will then receive a share of FXMS’s profits for up to four years.
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Contrary to the conventional wisdom, there has been a massive transfer of wealth from the banks to the hedge funds, says Neil Wilson.
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The priority for banks in 2008 will be shoring up balance sheets by raising capital.
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Straightforward, vanilla money market funds have suddenly become topical.
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Investors search for regional opportunities.
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The credit crunch has precipitated a shift in the balance of power in the European debt capital markets.
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Trading activity quadruples in November but widening spreads on small caps becomes a concern for investors.
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Despite being caught up in the perceived vulnerability of Kazakh banks to the global credit crunch, Kazkommertsbank has established a 100% subsidiary in the fast-growing market of Tajikistan. Banking assets in Tajikistan grew 43% in 2006, with deposits and loans growth up 93% and 79%, respectively. Including the central bank there are 20 bank and credit societies registered in the country.
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Demand is high, but the volume and diversity of instruments is limited.
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Pension funds in Peru are in desperate need of more investment options, according to analysts.
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Austria’s Wiener Börse is looking to steal some of the London Stock Exchange’s thunder in 2008 and break its stranglehold on international equity issuance from central and eastern Europe.
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48,800,000,000 the US dollar amount of equity raised by privatizations in the EMEA region in the first 11 months of 2007. The figure is up 80% over the same period in 2006. Privatizations accounted for 13% of all equity capital raised, compared with 10% in 2006.
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HSBC Saudi Arabia launched two new funds in December: the HSBC Saudi Equity Index Fund, and the HSBC Petrochemical Equity Opportunities Fund. HSBC is also offering participatory notes and swaps over these funds. HSBC’s Saudi Petrochemical Equity Index comprises 11 shares, including Sabic, which is the dominant company in the Saudi equity market. The broader equity index tracks 36 stocks across a broad range of sectors. Both funds are passively managed and aimed at institutional investors and third-party distributors. HSBC Saudi Arabia already offers participatory notes and swaps to its existing funds: Amanah Saudi Equity, Amanah Saudi Industrial Companies, Financial Institutions, Saudi Equity and the Saudi Equity Trading fund.
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Japan’s three megabanks have been asked by US counterparts to contribute $5 billion apiece to the fund they are setting up to bail out cash-stricken structured investment vehicles hit by the sub-prime crisis.
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Just months after the conclusion of Eurotunnel’s latest restructuring, London Underground rail operator Metronet is shaping up to take the Channel Tunnel operator’s place as the market’s favourite infrastructure saga.
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More on sovereign wealth funds
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Local retail investors will become a bigger force in Brazilian equity offerings, according to senior investment bankers, after Banco do Brasil completed a transaction last month that attracted record interest from individuals in a single deal.
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US regulator the National Futures Association decided not to wait to see what impact an increase in the minimum net capital requirement from $1 million to $5 million would have on its forex dealer members (FDMs).
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A shortage of primary convertibles issuance has moved synthetic convertible bonds out of obscurity and into near ubiquity among European institutional investors.
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Banks in Kazakhstan continue to be the subject of concern in the wake of the global credit crunch, with Standard & Poor’s the latest organization to turn its spotlight on the sector. In mid-December, the ratings agency revised from stable to negative the outlook on its ratings on eight banks – including the leading quartet of Kazkommertsbank, Bank TuranAlem, Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan and Alliance Bank.
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A bull-market product that would crash and burn in the event of a credit crisis: that was the view that many critics held of perpetual bonds – a fundraising instrument that has been all the rage in the region in recent years.
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Launched in 2001, Deutsche Bank’s Autobahn trading platform is a big factor in the bank’s success in the FX market.
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Guy Hart, head of ABS syndicate at BNP Paribas, is understood to be leaving the French bank. Hart has been at BNP Paribas since joining from Nomura in 1998. He is a victim of the bank’s projected business levels for next year. With so much less activity expected for 2008 in ABS and CDOs, BNP Paribas’ structured finance division has been trimmed. Accompanying Hart out of the door will be Christos Danias, head of European CDOs and fellow CDO structurer William Ma, who only joined the bank last January from Moody’s.
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CLS announced in early December that it had extended its services to cover the net proceeds of non-deliverable forward (NDF) trades. The service has gone live with six member banks and one third-party customer and it will cover 48 reference currencies. Proceeds will be settled in any of the existing 15 CLS settlement currencies.
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Singapore investment firm close to many on Goldman Sach’s team.
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Pays SFr10 billion for a 9% stake in the Swiss bank.
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