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  • The Cyprus bailout crisis lays bare the clear need for an EU banking union. Nevertheless, the eurozone’s single market will remain incomplete in the likely absence of an EU-wide common deposit scheme, with the solvency of national deposit guarantee schemes irrevocably tied to that of the sovereign.
  • The path of least resistance for gold prices remains down, according to BCA Research.
  • Euromoney investigates the market impact of the ECB’s comprehensive assessment of banks, which consists of three legs: identifying portfolios that need scrutiny; the asset-quality review (AQR); and a stress test to be completed by October 2014.
  • Considerable uncertainty is vexing derivatives players amid a raft of questions over the Dodd-Frank regime. The exact details of the rules pertaining to margins, trading, cross-border dealings and the Volcker rule remain ambiguous, with final rulings yet to be published. No one can predict the net cost of this new regulation but derivatives players are still quaking in their boots.
  • Mervyn King, the outgoing governor of the Bank of England, put a temporary halt to the slide in the pound on Thursday, but the currency still faces challenges in the weeks ahead.
  • Sanjay Mathur, Managing Director & Head of Economics Research, Asia Pacific ex-Japan, at RBS, believes that fears of currency wars are steeped in political posturing, rather than economic reality, and that any managed depreciations by central banks will only be effective in the short term.
  • The ECB has become a prisoner of politicians and markets through its commitment to buy the sovereign bonds of struggling eurozone members, Otmar Issing, one of the euro’s main architects, has told RBS.
  • China desperately needs better quality urbanization, with a people-orientated strategy, through reforms to social welfare programmes and the so-called hukou system, the household registration process. Without urgent redress, the rapid urbanization drive threatens to sow the seeds of social instability and exacerbate the divide between the rich and poor.
  • If the mainstream parties don’t reform now, they face much worse later, says Alberto Gallo, Head of European Macro Credit Research at RBS
  • New proposal in non-traditional debt restructuring is a “five-year free option to the company”.
  • Banks that are desperate to reduce costs are cutting their IT budgets across the board, but the one growth area for technology vendors is in compliance systems. The rapid speed and growth in the number of global transactions combined with a growing number of watch-lists have caused banks’ operational costs for sanctions compliance to sky-rocket.
  • China’s incoming leadership must to do more to fix deep-seated structural problems hurting the economy. If they don’t face up to the challenge, the country’s future growth and social cohesion is at risk, says Louis Kuijs, Chief China Economist at RBS.