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  • Alongside the announcement that it was raising its key interest rates by 25 basis points last month, the European Central Bank released the latest set of growth and inflation forecasts prepared jointly by the staff of the ECB and the euro area national central banks. ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet is always at pains to emphasize that these “projections” – which are shown as ranges, rather than point estimates, to reflect the uncertainties associated with past forecasting errors – are published on the responsibility of the staff and are not formally endorsed by the ECB’s executive board or its governing council.
  • Is the post-Goldilocks crash inevitable? Charles Dumas looks at an alternative scenario, where the bubble refuses to burst.
  • The gathering momentum in the hybrid securities market has been given another boost by the first issuance of such a structure by an Argentine bank under the country’s tier 1 capital regulations.
  • In 2000 Saddam Hussein attempted to stop accepting US dollars for oil transactions in favour of the euro, threatening demand for and the liquidity value of the dollar. After the Bush regime had invaded Iraq and ousted the dictator, they quietly went about converting Iraq’s oil currency back to the dollar.
  • The best agency players make attractive acquisition targets.
  • Traditionally seen as great for service, but second best in investment performance, private banks have been polishing up their act, investing in research and third-party products to diversify portfolios and win back market share in asset management from other financial service providers. FTSE PriBIL’s Private Banking Indices show that high-net-worth individuals should be taking private banks’ portfolio management more seriously. Plus we profile three of the banks that outperformed it. Helen Avery reports.
  • The causes of unprecedented global financial imbalances are complex, and understanding them is key to predicting what happens next. But do global economic prospects, as Brian Reading suggests, boil down to a simple question: will Americans stop wanting to borrow and spend before Eurasians stop wanting to save and lend?
  • The US private banking market is becoming increasingly competitive as domestic and foreign players battle it out for the country’s wealthiest clients, who are making increasingly complex demands that require more holistic approaches from banks. Private bankers’ salaries are at all-time highs and there seems little chance of them coming down in the near future. Helen Avery reports.
  • China is the world’s largest-ever catch-up economy. It will soon be the world’s largest economy, period. But policymakers in Beijing face some tough choices in the years to come to cope with the strains that industrial revolution brings, writes Diana Choyleva.