Experienced Japan watchers are getting ever gloomier about the country's prospects. They cannot see any way out of the present gridlock. The banks, all their time and resources focused on non-performing assets, have reduced new lending so dramatically that the real economy is grinding to a halt. The rate of corporate bankruptcy is increasing and each new Tankan survey is more despairing than the last. Lack of liquidity is forcing good as well as bad out of business, creating more problems for the banks and forcing them to cut lending further.
June 01, 1998