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  • Opinion
    The dawn of the US bear market
    I expect the US equity market to fall 30% to 40% this year. The catalyst for the turn in sentiment will be static (or falling) corporate profits, rising inflation and higher interest rates. Mania will drive the collapse. When the dust settles, the US economy will slide into recession. Consumers will retrench to pay down debts. The dollar will fall. It will be the dawn of a two-year bear market.
    May 01, 1998
  • BANKING
    Future Exchanges: Sorry Liffe, says DTB
    Having so long been the whipping-boy of its big cousin in London, the German futures exchange (Deutsche Terminbörse - DTB) can be forgiven for taking a full-page advertisement in the Financial Times in March to trumpet its victory.
    May 01, 1998
  • FX Poll 1998: Forwards
    FX Poll 1998: The Results
    May 01, 1998
  • BANKING
    FX Poll 1998: Options
    FX Poll 1998: The Results
    May 01, 1998
  • BANKING
    FX Poll 1998: Research
    FX Poll 1998: The Results
    May 01, 1998
  • BANKING
    Addicted to secrecy
    Decision time for Brazil's top bankers
    May 01, 1998
  • BANKING
    Chile: Not-so-perfect funds
    Chile's pension-fund system is admired and revered worldwide. It is the model reformers from other countries always turn to. But the system is not without blemishes. Fierce competition between fund managers has led to high-pressure sales methods and finally an industry shake-out. The gains for account holders of lower fees could be short-lived as consolidation gets under way.
    May 01, 1998
  • BANKING
    Yousef Boutros-Ghali, Minister of economy, Egypt
    Leaders of Africa's new deal
    May 01, 1998
  • BANKING
    Regulator lures derivatives star
    The UK's Financial Services Authority (FSA) booked its first high-profile transfer from the private sector last month, appointing Gay Evans of Bankers Trust as director of markets and exchanges. Evans will report to head of financial supervision Michael Foot from September.
    May 01, 1998
  • Waking up to reality
    After months of confusion, denial and fantasy economics, reality finally dawns in Indonesia. The banking sector is being reformed and corporate debts are being rescheduled. Local borrowers are quickly finding out which foreign banks plan to stick it out in Indonesia and which can't wait to shut up shop after calling in all their loans in full. Maggie Ford reports.
    May 01, 1998
  • Learning to play around with loans
    Most commercial bankers acknowledge the illiquid loan problem. But not many of them are freeing their loan book with loan sales, credit derivatives, and collateralized loan obligations - yet. It's a new game. But a handful of banks have sipped from the holy grail, and are pressing the regulators to change the Basle capital requirements. Antony Currie reports.
    May 01, 1998
  • Islamic banks aim for the mainstream
    Difficulties at one Middle East bank have focused attention on a fast-growing sector of the finance market. Islamic banks used to be simply places for those with strong religious convictions to deposit their money. Now, as Nigel Dudley reports, these institutions want to grow internationally, get into new business areas and compete for non-Moslem customers. International firms such as Citibank think the sector is attractive enough to set up their own specialist operations.
    May 01, 1998
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