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  • A FORECAST BY CARNEGIE BANK A/S
  • PETER LEE & STEVEN IRVINE
  • Bahrain's reputation as the pre-eminent financial centre on the Arabian Gulf is being challenged by the threat of civil unrest, a domestic sector which is overbanked and foreign banks questioning their need for a presence in the region. But local and regional opportunities arising from privatization programmes and economic restructuring offer banks a way forward. By Nigel Dudley
  • A FORECAST BY UNION BANK OF SWITZERLAND
  • BY NOMURA INTERNATIONAL PLC
  • Newly-appointed global foreign exchange chief, Guy Whittaker, fell silent when Euromoney informed him that the new Chase had topped our annual foreign exchange poll. He simply asked how we put the results together, and took a sip of water.
  • Luxembourg was in at the start of European unity and is as committed to it as ever. But the things that have made the Grand Duchy great - tax advantages, strict banking secrecy, the Luxfranc bond market and the absence of minimum bank reserve requirements - look likely to be swept away by the tide of EU harmonization. Philip Eade reports on Luxembourgeois bankers' bullishness in the face of adversity
  • The Maxwell and Baring scandals turned the spotlight on the relative freedoms enjoyed in the UK by global custodians. Now tighter regulation is in prospect, heralding a further contraction in the industry as compliance costs bite. Nick Kochan reports
  • A few have already. For inter-dealer brokers, the expansion of electronic dealing and a hiccup in derivatives activity have, at best, necessitated refocusing and downsizing. Only those with special expertise and those that dominate a niche will emerge stronger from the changes. Stephanie Cooke reports
  • After months of delays, the New York Federal Reserve Bank is close to approving Swiss Bank Corp's merger with SG Warburg in the US. But there will be a lot less left to merge than originally expected. Uncertainty about the future of the US piece of Warburg, combined with a post-integration reorganization at SBC Warburg, has led to an exodus of investment bankers and analysts in New York.
  • It's a good time to be a Eurobond trader. European banks such as Deutsche Morgan Grenfell and SBC Warburg are beefing up their trading rooms and are prepared to double or treble the earnings of top traders to bring them on board. But just how talented are the traders jumping ship for such high sums? Ronan Lyons reports.
  • The combination of Chase and Chemical always held the prospect of creating a foreign-exchange giant able to challenge Citibank's number-one position. But for the former Chemical managers - who dominate the new operation - the tough challenge will be to integrate the two banks' very different styles: can the old Chase's customer-oriented salesmen pedal at the same speed as Chemical's traders? By Steven Irvine