November 2003
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LATEST ARTICLES
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Partners, Auerbach Grayson
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? The August 2003 edition of Euromoney contained a table ranking banks in Emerging markets by shareholders equity ('A world of difference', p.78-81).
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Continental Europe's corporate bond market is expanding and catching up with the US and UK. French banks and issuers are stealing a march on their nearest competitors in the range and sophistication of their issues.
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? India may well be the second-fastest growing economy in the world this year, after China. Government, independent think-tanks and investment banks agree that GDP will grow by close to 7% this year. Moody's put India's foreign currency sovereign rating on review for a possible upgrade from sub-investment status in early October, citing its foreign exchange reserves of over $90 billion.
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Thirachai Phuvanatnaranubala, deputy governor of the Bank of Thailand, has been one of the main drivers of recent Asian financial market initiatives, most notably steering ABF1 to fruition. He spoke to Euromoney's Nick Parsons about pan-Asian achievements and hopes for the future.
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The decision of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to cut production means that oil prices are set to stay high. This will keep Europe's consumers spending less and will dim prospects for eurozone recovery.
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? The debate about soft commissions and bundling arrangements rumbles on in the UK, with fund manager and pension fund bodies at loggerheads over whether the Financial Services Authority should regulate arrangements.
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Since the dot com bust banks have been forced to come down to earth in their electronic offerings. They are focusing on super-fast pricing engines, error-free post-trade functions and good internal risk management rather than on fancy websites. Euromoney’s fourth annual awards highlight those that have done this best. Katie Astbury, Mark Brown, Julie Dalla-Costa, Julian Evans and Peter Koh.
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? The advice to visitors to Nairobi is comprehensive. "Don't wind down the windows in your vehicle, don't carry any valuables, don't stop to talk to street children when you're walking around. Don't stay in the River Road area and don't go anywhere in the centre on foot at night."
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Source: www.breakingviews.com is Europe's leading financial commentary service.
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Source: www.breakingviews.com is Europe's leading financial commentary service.
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In view of president Vladimir Putin's assault on Yukos it might seem an odd time to take on extra Russian risk. Nevertheless, that is just what RZB's Russian subsidiary, Raffeisen Zentralbank Oesterreich (RZO), has been doing in its lending operations, and the strategy has been paying off.
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Those who know him might not believe it. Antony Currie, our US editor, actually managed to complete a marathon.
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With ideas about how to perfect covered bond laws and structures ricocheting around Europe, the EU is taking an interest. "Given the EU's desire to harmonize everything, this is an obvious area where it can practise its hobby," is one credit analyst's deadpan observation. European intervention could, though, clear up doubts about which bonds qualify for 10% risk weighting - a particular concern for banks given the impending implementation of the Basle II capital adequacy rules.
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Modest initial proposals for a $1 billion Asian bond fund to be invested in by regional central banks are blossoming into more ambitious attempts to develop regional financial markets.
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Although new covered bond jurisdictions such as the UK have monopolized recent headlines, established jurisdictions such as Germany, Spain, and France still account for the bulk of issuance. According to figures from CDC ICM, in the first quarter of 2003 total issuance was €35.6 billion. Of that, obligations foncières accounted for 15%; cédulas hipotecarias for 31%; and jumbo Pfandbriefe for 37%. Obligations foncières, with their true bankruptcy separation, are widely perceived to be among the safest covered bonds. Investors are also fond of them because of the relatively small number of French issuers - Crédit Immobilier de France (CIF), Compagnie de Financement Foncière (CFF), and Dexia Municipal Agency (Dexma).
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As Euromoney went to press investors were struggling to come to terms with the freezing by Russian prosecutors of a large block of shares in Yukos. Badly burnt by the 1998 crisis, foreign investors have been slow to return to the Russian stock markets and those that did were all buying shares in Yukos, commonly viewed as Russia's most transparent and best managed company.
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Issuers have taken the keenest interest in Moody's covered bonds policy, but Standard & Poor's announced in October that it was refining its approach to rating European covered bonds. The rating agency said that the variety of legislation in Europe meant that investors were asking it to clarify how it rated covered bonds. Specifically, investors want timely payment, and reassurance on how their investments are likely to be affected by the insolvency of an issuing bank.
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Deutsche Bank has launched a set of tradeable foreign exchange indices, with new products that make it simpler for clients to take positions on individual currencies.
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The launch of an innovative new service for brokers to communicate indications of interest (IOIs) and trade advertisements to dealers at buy-side firms brings new competition that may benefit investors searching for liquidity in the securities markets.
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Source: www.breakingviews.com is Europe's leading financial commentary service.
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Chinese whispers seem to be distorting the office gossip at Deutsche Bank.
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It must have been sweet music to the ears of bankers sitting in advisory departments across the globe. After two years of falling volumes, mass lay-offs and sorry looking deal pipelines, here was the M&A pick-up they had been dreaming about for so long. When it arrived, it did so in dramatic style. Over $80 billion of deals were announced on October 27, the biggest volume of deals announced on a single day since the height of the M&A boom in 2000.
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Rob Mannix reports on how an investor group aims to stop borrowers giving security over assets to other lenders without doing the same for bondholders
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Here's some bad news for those people who don't find STP boring: other people do.
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Eiji Hirano, assistant governor of the Bank of Japan, spoke to Euromoney's Nick Parsons about Japan's views on a broadening and deepening of Asia's bond markets. He tempered his enthusiasm with an emphasis on the need for simultaneous development of the region's banking system.
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Even before the arrest last month of Mikhail Khordorkovsky and the freezing of a large block of Yukos shares, Moody's decision on October 8 to raise Russia's sovereign credit rating, from Ba2 to Baa3, had been greeted with as much concern as joy. The RTS closed that day 3% up at an all-time high of 628.98. Yields for Russia's 2030 Eurobond contracted by 40 basis points.
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In June, the 11-member Executives Meeting of East Asia-Pacific (EMEAP) central banks announced the birth of the $1 billion Asian Bond Fund 1 (ABF1) - something few market observers expected to see so soon.
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? Running a company is a thankless task now that chairmen and CEOs are regarded with suspicion not admiration. In a further affront, in the UK at least, any CEO who makes a deal to become chairman of a merged company may well face the chop.
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